The secret McCain plan is now falling into place as South Dakota is being projected for the Republican candidate. With both Dakotas in his broken-hip pocket, well, it’s seems pretty obvious what happens now.
But FiveThirtyEight.com is already got it in the tank (is that the right? not in the bag?) for Obama. It’s just a matter of how much Obama wins by, predicting it will be in the 300s, for electoral votes. And the real drama involves the Senate. Will Dems get to 60 and a filibuster-proof majority.
Four Democratic pickups have been called: Warner (VA), Shaheen (NH), Udall (NM) and Hagan (NC). That gets Democrats 55.
Mark Udall in Colorado looks very strong. Ted Stevens, convicted felon, will lose. Jeff Merkley is heavily favored in the Oregon race, but those results aren’t in yet.
Al Franken leads Norm Coleman in very early returns. However, Mary Landrieu looks like she’s in a tight race in Louisiana, with a small lead over John Kennedy there. Roger Wicker leads Ronnie Musgrove in Mississippi.
If Udall, Begich, Merkley and Franken can win their races, and Mary Landrieu hold hers, Democrats will sit at 59 Senate seats. Then Democrats need to either keep Chambliss under 50% (some big Democratic counties are outstanding) or somehow pull off the Musgrove-Wicker upset, another race that has not been called.